Yeah, thats right. If they dont try to demolish the minnows, they should win both matches. In most upsets the stronger team loses because of over confidence. Normal cricket should see Pakistan off to safety. But their batsmen(like most south asian batsmen) sometimes fail to resist the temptation of scoring fast and becoming over night super heros back home. Thats what they have to resist.

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My computer can beat me at chess.....but its no match for me at kick boxing.