The upset by Bangladesh could actually be the first step in India's early exit from the tournament. They now have a mammoth task on hand to qualify.

Let us safely assume that following SL's example, India and Bangladesh are also going to beat Bermuda; India have to also beat Sri Lanka to stay in the tournament; if they do that and Bangladesh too beat Sri Lanka, then India will go through with Bangladesh. But as is likely, if Sri Lanka beat Bangladesh, India can be in a spot of bother even if they beat Sri Lanka themselves. In that scenario, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and India will have 4 points each and the run rates will come into play. On that score, SL are well placed, having thrashed Bermuda earlier.

Therefore, the only way that India can be certain of getting through is to go hell for leather against Bermuda on Monday. If India win the toss and bat first, they should post at least 350, preferably close to 400. Then try to get Bermuda out for a sub-100 score so that India's net run rate is above SL. If Bermuda bat first, they have to be dismissed quickly and the target chased with a high RPO. After all that, they still have to beat SL in the final group match to qualify.

The trouble is, Bangadesh also know all this and will try hard to do very well against Bermuda themselves. On top of all the work we have ahead ourselves, we have to hope that Bangladesh are not as destructive as India against Bermuda.

India have their work cut out.