I can't see England winning, even if we win the toss, Pakistan are just a much better side than us, especially at home. Our side isn't completely hopeless and on paper we should be able to put up a fight, but odi's are all about adapting to the conditions quickly, and England haven't really shown any sign of adapting to Pakistani conditions all tour, we have our moments here and there but overall we've failed to adapt and odi's are not our strong point. If we win then i feel it will be more because Pakistan threw it away rather than us winning it, and so far Pakistan haven't looked like throwing anything away. We're also now without Pietersen, who is a strong odi player and most importantly he scores quickly, allowing the other batsman to take his time, in Pakistan you have to post a 280+ score to be in with a realistic chance.