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The fourth bowler is the one who introduces the flexibility. A third seamer opens up the possibility of barely using the spinner (especially in the first two sessions). Recall the Aussie attack when Lee was also involved? He'd open (maybe for 4-5 overs) with McGrath. Gillespie would take over, and Lee would rest. McGrath would bowl through a much longer spell, and then Lee would come back fresh for another stint before lunch (having changed ends). Sacrificing a batsman for the 4th specialist bowler makes lots of sense: it means that a captain can resort to more continuous seam-up bowling when conditions mean this is desirable... and creates the flexibility of dropping a less effective bowler down to a paltry 20 overs a day instead of asking each bowler to shoulder a full workload. As for the strategy thing... it boils down to a pretty straighforward matter of odds: once you've given yourself the flexibility that comes with a fourth specialist bowler (as all sides do), the law of diminishing returns starts setting in with respect to bowling options - put simply... increasing the quantity of bowlers does not increase the amount of bowling that can be done, and as your best options were already available, you ain't making 20 wickets significantly more likely. I don't see anything negative about playing a proper top 6: that's about giving the top order the license to play freely. If you just play 5 you'd better back the reliability of players in the mould of Boycott, Richardson, Dravid, Kallis and Steve Waugh (who thrived in situations where losing one wicket might mean exposing a long tail). If you want to see attractive cricket and pick players in the mould of Barry Richards, Slater, Gower, Mark Waugh, Jayawardene and Laxman (giving them license to play shots) then depth helps... not least because there's no law of diminishing returns on additional batsmen. |
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Well said.
__________________ Mark. |
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The reason they were successful is because of their ability with the ball - not the number of overs they could get through! I know when I'm wasting my time, let's agree to differ. The proof of the pudding is always in the eating so they say and England are not being particularly successful with a 4 bowler format, let's see how long they can go being unsucessful playing that format before something changes. |
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| I never fail to be amazed at the number of cricket followers who write this. It's not true. Any match in which a team declares one of its innings and loses will show that.
__________________ Money won't buy you friends. But it gets you a better class of enemy. Spike Milligan |
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If you've put out your best 4 bowlers for the expected pitch and conditions and the quality ain't good enough for 20 wickets... then piling the heap deaper (by adding in someone you expect to be an even less competent bowler: someone who's not even in your best quartet) ain't going to hugely improve your odds of 20 wickets. Does adding or removing Collingwood to an attack of Sidebottom, Broad, Flintoff and Panesar make much difference to the likelihood of taking 20 wickets? Not massively, because if one was having a really bad day... you'd rather increase the work of the others than look to the (comparratively) less able Collingwood for a lot of overs. At least Collingwood can merit a place in the side with his batting alone... which makes having his bowling available an option. If you add a lesser 5th bowler who CANNOT merit a place with the bat (say Anderson)... then the only thing you are changing is the likelihood of defending a low total. How often would taking overs off Sidebottom, Broad, Flintoff and Panesar and giving them to Anderson really increase the odds of taking wickets? Unlike Collingwood, Anderson would need to be contributing hugely with the ball in order to justify his place... but you'd hardly ever gain anything from bowling Anderson than you would not already get from bowling the others. Sure... the four man attack might not be good enough... but in that situation the 5 man is unlikely to be much better... But of course... with Anderson in to replace Strauss, the totals to be defended should, over a 5 test series, be consistently lower (as Strauss should be expected to add at least 300 more personal runs than Anderson, and to build partnerships with others in a way that Anderson never could). Yippee... a marginal increase in the likelihood of getting 20 wickets in any one game... but increased pressure to get the wickets cheaply, and on the top 5 batsmen to deliver miracles, as the oppositions chances of getting 20 wickets have just been hugely boosted |
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I'm not saying you have to take 20 wickets to win EVERY game, but you have to take 20 wickets to win nearly every game. In the past 5 years how many teams have won matches following the opposition declaring their first innings closed??
__________________ Mark. |
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The aim is to take twenty wickets in the series more often than the other side: that might mean just once in a three test series, or twice in five Tests. Sure, against a much weaker side, that's not the case (witness Australia's two long runs of victories against lesser sides)... but if you are concerned with what happens when the going gets tough (which is surely why folk over here obsess about playing Australia) then no matter how good your attack is, 1. The other side should be expected control / dominate SOME games (which doesn't mean they should win them). 2. Opportunities should arise to control / dominate SOME games (and a good side should convert such control / domination into a win in SOME instances). Crucially, the five man attack means (1) is more likely and does little to change (2)! Last edited by Rachael : 22-05-2008 at 07:51 AM. |
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And another thing. This automatic time-out rule is really starting to be a pain in the neck. |
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But that's not what I'm saying. What I am saying is that 5 Test quality bowlers, all performing to their peak level, will do a lot more damage than 4 test quality bowlers doing the same thing. This is the point, you either don't appear to understand or prefer to ignore. I, I think like you, would nearly always play a spinner and I think we'd both also agree on Panesar, so lets take Panesar out of the equation. That leaves your preference with 2 seamers + an allrounder, probably Flintoff. That leaves my preference with 3 seamers + an allrounder, probably Flintoff. We'd both play Flintoff, so let's take him out of the equation. That leaves me with 3 seamers and you with 2. I'm willing to bet, probably a lot of money, that my 3 seamers of probably Broad, Hoggard and Sidebottom, combined would do more damage and take more wickets in a test series than your two of probably Broad and Sidebottom combined. And I'll give you four reasons why - 1) All of my seamers including Flintoff get more rest breaks between bowling spells and as their overall workloads are lower they can put more effort and energy into each spell they bowl. This isn't just important within games themselves, but particularly important when playing back to back tests. I want my bowlers fully fit bowling at full pace in short spells, particularly Flintoff, putting all their effort into each spell they bowl. 2) I have twice as many options (6) in shuffling my 4 seamers around in terms of bowling partnerships than you do having only 3. That means I'm much more likely to find the right combination of bowlers for that wicket and those conditions with one creating pressure whilst one takes wickets at the other end. 3) I have a second change seam bowling partnership, which you do not have. 4) I'm not having to rely on part time bowlers making up the overs and offering easy runs, I can sustain full pressure with my 4 seamers all day long you cannot acheive with your 3. Finally, the Ashes in 2005 proved categorically that a 5 bowler combination when firing on all four cylinders is effective against the best side in the world. It's been done and proven. |
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__________________ Money won't buy you friends. But it gets you a better class of enemy. Spike Milligan |
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